Your wise friend that you wish would post more stuff.
Hey guys. Ellen broke twitter. So… whatchoo guys doin?
So this eventful week ends with an event I look forward to all year, because I’m really into movies and I get excited about the Oscars. I’ll probably do some live tweeting once the actual awards start, but meanwhile, here are my expert predictions, and my even more expert picks (the nominees that I wish would win).
But this year is hard! There will be upsets! My guesses will be wrong a lot! Which will totally be fun!
DISCLAIMER: I haven’t seen any of the nominees in the non-feature categories except for the Animated Short nominee that was before Frozen. But I’m submitting predictions and picks in those categories anyway because I feel like it and it’s what I do and hi, I’m zawmer.
Here are the nominees, and below are my predictions and picks. Also at the end, if you get that far, is my personal top ten for 2013.
“ I’m only writing this because I sensed a fatalism in some of the replies I received from people, suggesting they believe that some folks are destined to OD and die. Fuck that. Fuck you if you think that. Addiction is a brutal, cunning, shapeshifting enemy, but I’ve seen people from every walk of life kick it in the fucking mouth. But if you want to beat it, you must ACKNOWLEDGE ITS STRENGTH and work out in your basement every day, including weekends and holidays, and then when you encounter it on a country road or a city street corner or a weekend barbecue or a subway platform, beat its fucking skull in before it gets the chance to do the same to you. Because it will, because that’s its job. Booze and drugs are elemental; they don’t care about the alcoholic/addict. They don’t love her, they don’t hate her. But they’ll kill her dead if she doesn’t stand arm in arm with her brothers and sisters and GET HIP to the skill set that will allow her to continue to draw breath in a world where booze and drugs exist, just like firetrucks and cliffs and other things that will kill you without even noticing. So when someone ODs or kills themselves or crashes a car and dies due to their alcohol/drug use, I don’t say ‘C’est la vie…,’ I say “Fuck that shit,’ and I circle the wagons with my other survivor friends and we go over the battle plans a FIVE-HUNDREDTH time, figure out where our dead friend that we love and mourn deviated, and we prepare to greet the coming day in a manner that will give something other than our addictions a fair shot at killing us. ”
- Nothing much unexpected. No big shocks. (Nominations list)
- Last year was notable for not many first-time nominees; this year is slightly better, but the Best Actress nominees are all longtime Oscar darlings. Four of them already have Oscars and the fifth, Amy Adams, has been nominated four times before.
- At least this time Amy Adams is nominated on her own merits instead of riding the coattails of a movie that’s sweeping the nominations. (This year, that lucky coattail-rider is her costar Bradley Cooper.)
- This is only the third time a black director has been nominated in the Best Achievement in Directing category. In 86 years. I must say that the three movies that landed those nominations were all exquisitely directed. But there have been way more than three exquisitely-directed movies by black directors.
- Of the 9 Best Picture nominees, five of them are in my personal top ten for the year. I’m particularly pleased that Nebraska got a full dose of appreciation because holy fucking shit that movie is fantastic.
- I’ve actually seen every movie nominated in a major category this year except for August: Osage County.
- Some more kinda exciting first-time nominees: Chiwetel Ejiofor, Matthew McConaughey, Barkhad Abdi (Minnesota repperzent!), Jared Leto, Sally Hawkins, Lupita Nyong’o, June Squibb, Alfonso Cuaron
- I’m concerned that Leonardo DiCaprio might win Best Actor because “it’s just his year”, even though that was an unlikable performance in a movie that felt like a three-hour novocaine injection. (Niles, you reading this? Fight me on this!)
- Philomena: a bit overrated
- Her: a bit underrated
- The Coens are my favorite, but I don’t think Inside Llewyn Davis had any more coming to it than Cinematography, so it’s lucky to have also gotten a Sound Mixing
- My favorite movie that got no nominations was The Spectacular Now
- That’s it for now. Hi! I’m sick and Kai’s cat is dying, but hi!